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Those of you predicting 11-5 and 10-6 seasons...
Help me find the extra 4-5 wins in this schedule. Week 1 vs Denver - I'm calling win because they couldn't even stop Josh McCown last year and have gotten worse Week 2 @ KC - The bottom line is our defensive line isn't much different and Kolby Smith put 150 on them last year. Larry Johnson is healthy, so I'm saying loss. Week 3 @ Buffalo - I don't understand why anyone thinks the Bills are still a pushover. How are we going to stop Marshawn Lynch? Loss. Week 4 vs San Diego - the Bolts are either the best team in the NFL or in the top 3. I doubt we even beat the spread in this one. Week 6 @ New Orleans - the Saints were awful last year, but they're healthy this year. We don't have the talent in the middle to stop McCallister. I think it'll be a close game but ultimately a loss. Week 7 vs New York Jets - the Jets will probably get 100+ out of Thomas Jones but if Rob Ryan stacks the box and forces Clemons or Pennington to beat us, it won't happen. Win. Week 8 @ Baltimore Ravens - 2 words: Willis McGahee. Loss. Week 9 vs Atlanta Falcons - this team is a joke and has as much 0-16 potential as Miami did last year. Win. Week 10 vs Carolina Panthers - Peppers is healthy this year and I like the strides they made offensively. We don't have the o-line to stop them so I'm saying loss. Week 11 @ Miami Dolphins - 1-15, nuff said, this team sucks. Win. Week 12 @ Denver - Another win. Denver looks terrible. Week 13 vs KC - Johnson and Co. will be hurting from a full season of vanilla offense. Win. Week 14 @ San Diego - The Chargers will probably be close to clinching and beat our heads in. Week 15 vs New England - I want to watch this game from a blimp. I'm calling at least 25 fights amongst pissed off drunk people when Randy Moss goes for 250 yards and 3 touchdowns. 49-3. Week 16 vs Houston - we've never beat the Texans. Ever. Their D-line is underrated and our o-line is crap. Loss. Week 17 @ Tampa Bay - Tampa will probably be playing for playoff position, we'll be playing for a 7th win. Loss. |
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Baltimore matches up too well, they are excellent at rushing the passer and running the ball. We can't protect the passer and we can't stop the run. New Orleans is a different team with all of their pieces healthy. We've never won a game against the Texans, and they match up well because of their defensive line. Buffalo has improved year to year, they will be better than they were last year. |
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those Are A Few Games I Think Could Go The Other Way |
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and last year it 11-5 got you in the playoffs. lets say i am right, and there is a very good chance im not, in the above post...then the last game of the season we are playing for a tenth win. and 10 and 6 is usually the demarcation for a playoff team.
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There is only one way to determine which of those teams is better than ours and that's 60 min of football.
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The Bucs were pretty decent until injuries messed them up. Garcia played some good ball for them and they improved their defense in the offseason. They'll also be playing for a playoff spot in week 17 and we probably won't.
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I'm hoping for a .500 season... anything else is icing on the cake. There is still too many ??? and not enough depth to win more.
Having said that... I sure hope all of you predicting 10-6, 11-5 end up being right!
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6-10 seems realistic.I hope we stay healthy and steal a few and go 8-8.Every year people say we will win 3-5 division games and we are lucky to win any.I just hope we start out strong,the first few games can make/break our season.We open at home and are a 2 point underdog,lets prove them wrong and go from there
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