Raiders still have the 3rd locked up.
They still have a chance though to beat SD, I would favor the chargers, but it's a winnable game, depending on Palmer injury.
Eagles 4-11 @ giants, lost
Lions 4-11. home vs Bears, rivalry game, give edge to bears, could go either way
Arizona 5-9 home vs Bears lost imo, , @ niners, lost
Browns 5-9 @ broncos lost probably 5-10, @ Steelers, either way, go with steelers
Titans 5-10 Jags home, win
Bills 5-10 home vs Jets, possibly win
my hypothetical ending
If the Raiders beat SD, they could possibly pick 5th, thinking they win the tiebreaker over the Cardinals because of strength of schedule.
Of course if the Raiders lose , they lock up the 3rd pick in the draft.