NFL Draft: All about quality, not quantity. Sort of. Probably Both.
Posted 02-23-2008 at 07:31 PM by Brazy
I love the NFL draft. Back in the 80's, I use to wake up at 5am and stay home from school to watch it all on ESPN. Back when they used to draft for 12 Rounds and Prize Fights went 15. I was in junior high. I've always watched some portion of the NFL draft since 1985.
That year, the greatest receiver of all time was drafted, Mr. Jerry Rice. Now here is the "Believe it or Not" portion of this blog: Buster Rhymes was drafted at the top of the Fourth Round, #85 overall by the Vikings. The Raiders drafted Jessie Hester with their First Pick, #23 overall.
23 years later (the math is ill), I overheard the idiot box paraphrasing that Mel Kiper said the Raiders woes can be traced to the drafts and their lack of impact. So I dug up some stats. I focused on the Raiders last SuperBowl to date. Starting with the 2002 Draft, which took place in April, right before the Raiders SuperBowl Season began that September.
When you think of success in the NFL since 2002, four teams come right to mind:
New England, Indy, Philly and Pittsburg. They have all been to a SuperBowl since then and all but Philly has won the title.
Of those teams, I looked at who is currently on their roster, that was drafted by the team since 2002. I think they say it takes 5 or 10 years to tell if a draft was successful. After looking at some of the guys that were drafted since then, I'd have to say 5, easy. 3 to 5 years is when most of the multiple pro-bowlers start showing up.
Peep the stats below and let it sink in, marinate for a minute.
Starting with the 2002 Draft, teams total picks, number of those picks on the current roster, the percentage of those picks on the roster, how many extra picks each team would have on the current roster if they had the highest percentage of the Eagles, and wins for that team starting with the 2002 season. It shows how the Raiders stack up with the 4 teams that have the most wins from 2002 to 2007.
I look at that and say, The NFL Draft: All about quality not quantity. Sort of. Probably Both.
All of those teams have guys that were drafted in those years, but left as free agents. They essentially retain about the same number of players, but it's the quality of players. You can interpet the data as you wish and spin postings abound.
But I think it highlights two things:
1. The lack of talent on the current Raider Roster
2. The Draft is a 50/50 proposition
MUCH RESPECT TO THE NATION
That year, the greatest receiver of all time was drafted, Mr. Jerry Rice. Now here is the "Believe it or Not" portion of this blog: Buster Rhymes was drafted at the top of the Fourth Round, #85 overall by the Vikings. The Raiders drafted Jessie Hester with their First Pick, #23 overall.
23 years later (the math is ill), I overheard the idiot box paraphrasing that Mel Kiper said the Raiders woes can be traced to the drafts and their lack of impact. So I dug up some stats. I focused on the Raiders last SuperBowl to date. Starting with the 2002 Draft, which took place in April, right before the Raiders SuperBowl Season began that September.
When you think of success in the NFL since 2002, four teams come right to mind:
New England, Indy, Philly and Pittsburg. They have all been to a SuperBowl since then and all but Philly has won the title.
Of those teams, I looked at who is currently on their roster, that was drafted by the team since 2002. I think they say it takes 5 or 10 years to tell if a draft was successful. After looking at some of the guys that were drafted since then, I'd have to say 5, easy. 3 to 5 years is when most of the multiple pro-bowlers start showing up.
Peep the stats below and let it sink in, marinate for a minute.
Starting with the 2002 Draft, teams total picks, number of those picks on the current roster, the percentage of those picks on the roster, how many extra picks each team would have on the current roster if they had the highest percentage of the Eagles, and wins for that team starting with the 2002 season. It shows how the Raiders stack up with the 4 teams that have the most wins from 2002 to 2007.
Quote:
Team ----- Picks ---- Current ------- % ---------- +55% -------- W's
RAIDERS --- 52 --------- 24 -------- 46% ----------5 ------------ 30
N.E. Pansies -50 ---------22 -------- 44% ----------5 ------------ 75
Indy Cunts--- 51 -------- 27 -------- 53% -------- 1 ------------ 73
Phila Beagles -51 -------- 28 -------- 55% --------- 0 ------------ 61
Steel Maggys -46 ------- 24 -------- 52% --------- 1 ------------ 60
RAIDERS --- 52 --------- 24 -------- 46% ----------5 ------------ 30
N.E. Pansies -50 ---------22 -------- 44% ----------5 ------------ 75
Indy Cunts--- 51 -------- 27 -------- 53% -------- 1 ------------ 73
Phila Beagles -51 -------- 28 -------- 55% --------- 0 ------------ 61
Steel Maggys -46 ------- 24 -------- 52% --------- 1 ------------ 60
All of those teams have guys that were drafted in those years, but left as free agents. They essentially retain about the same number of players, but it's the quality of players. You can interpet the data as you wish and spin postings abound.
But I think it highlights two things:
1. The lack of talent on the current Raider Roster
2. The Draft is a 50/50 proposition
MUCH RESPECT TO THE NATION
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